Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.412468 0.448794 0.488237 0.534490 0.587559 0.646926 0.718906
2025-01-19 0.336650 0.386972 0.446418 0.522998 0.620829 0.744257 0.916301
2025-01-26 0.299306 0.358966 0.434324 0.539362 0.687043 0.896116 1.233350
2025-02-02 0.279177 0.346937 0.437574 0.573159 0.781921 1.114175 1.744929
2025-02-09 0.255148 0.325221 0.422942 0.577141 0.832288 1.280578 2.270513
2025-02-16 0.231840 0.300999 0.400445 0.563830 0.849911 1.395443 2.776062
2025-02-23 0.215864 0.285079 0.387505 0.562441 0.886437 1.559299 3.547170
2025-03-02 0.200268 0.267954 0.370366 0.550711 0.900312 1.680988 4.343693
2025-03-09 0.186783 0.252680 0.354283 0.538009 0.908878 1.794486 5.284580
2025-03-16 0.175403 0.239623 0.340332 0.526882 0.917919 1.914246 6.487043
2025-03-23 0.169924 0.235207 0.339950 0.540508 0.983858 2.227018 9.577387
2025-03-30 0.161851 0.226024 0.330595 0.535453 1.005689 2.421537 12.811383
2025-04-06 0.151117 0.212253 0.312893 0.513054 0.984321 2.475563 15.429309
2025-04-13 0.141103 0.199200 0.295703 0.490255 0.958998 2.512679 18.572742
2025-04-20 0.136911 0.195439 0.294594 0.500592 1.023540 2.958396 35.907530
2025-04-27 0.135464 0.196098 0.301436 0.528992 1.148766 3.839655 146.828130
2025-05-04 0.130802 0.190951 0.297051 0.531854 1.200768 4.444444 899.979821
2025-05-11 0.124761 0.183048 0.286808 0.519816 1.202342 4.759507 49881.484407
2025-05-18 0.120451 0.177903 0.281422 0.518497 1.239862 5.410354 NaN
2025-05-25 0.115475 0.171305 0.272720 0.508063 1.243074 5.822727 NaN
2025-06-01 0.110775 0.164960 0.264081 0.496775 1.240515 6.206771 NaN
2025-06-08 0.106553 0.159264 0.256352 0.486880 1.240899 6.651280 NaN
2025-06-15 0.104832 0.157952 0.257257 0.498989 1.331493 8.429049 NaN